For investors who take matters into their own hands.
The Vigilante Investor strategy rides the enduring investment trends of our day, many of which are driven by geopolitics. The strategy integrates geopolitical trends, economic trends, and value-oriented security analysis to identify a model portfolio.
Steve Koomar began publishing Vigilante Investor in 2016.
Prior to publishing, Steve worked as an investment professional for over 25 years. He served as a manager in Derivatives, Japan Bond Trading, and Proprietary Trading for Goldman Sachs and as Managing Director and portfolio manager of Global Fixed Income for Prudential. Steve also served as a hedge fund portfolio manager and as a loss-recovery consultant for distressed mortgage-backed securities. He currently does strategic planning for oil & gas service companies. He also serves as an adviser for a private farmland real estate investment trust.
The Vigilante Investor Approach
Geopolitical trends drive global economic development. Changes to the "Global Order" determine the opportunity for businesses, investors, and laborers to prosper.
Vigilante Investor endeavors to target the industries that can best capitalize on the big geopolitical trends. We filter through the companies to identify those with good management teams attractive valuation for investment. Our aim is to construct a model portfolio that earns consistent, positive returns.
Click the Performance tab (above) to see how the strategy working.
The Increasing Importance of Geopolitics Today
American populism is catalyzing policy changes and transforming "Global Order." America is withdrawing its sponsorship of the post-WWII Free-Trade regime that fueled the economic globalization of the past 70 years. Wherever the U.S. retreats from global leadership, it leaves a vaccuum of chaos in its wake. The economies (and corporations) that benefitted the most from globalization will will struggle to adjust.
Vigilante Investor initially posted this statement in 2017. It remains highly relevant today.
"China is losing access to Ameican's rich consumer market. In response, China is accelerating efforts to to assert military and economic dominance in other parts of the world. Simultaneously, Russia is trying to expand its European border to the east and south... to gain the natural protection from seas and mountains... before its population grows too old to pull it off. Iran and Turkey are pursuing separate strategies to dominate politics and commerce in the Middle East."
Investment managers who reflexively diversify (internationally) without adjusting for de-globalization ar suffering with poor performance. Emerging and other international stock markets have underperformed the U.S. due to de-globalization. Poor relative performance in many international markets will intensify as de-globalization...and wars... proliferate.
The U.S and its strategic allies (particularly Canada and Mexico) offer safe haven for investors. The increasing self-reliance of the North American economy will require American companies to produce more goods. North American companies that produce food, energy, building materials, and semiconductors will see accelerated growth and profitaability.